For a stock market trader it’s as good a time as any to take a moment to look back and torment yourself with all those things you didn’t know but could have guessed that would have made investment so easy over the last twelve months, simple things that would have taken all the stress out of it, saved an enormous amount of time and helped us to prematurely and gloriously retire.Įvery year there are a handful of these things that you needed to know that would have swept away all the bollocks, all the financial theory, all the research, all the complications and all the endless blah blah blah we were bombarded with. These days stocks don’t trade on valuations, they move on the basis of whether they beat consensus revenue and earnings growth estimates and raise their guidance.Īs long as Rocket keeps doing that, its shares are likely to benefit - and the heavy short interest in this stock could throw gasoline on that upward explosion.I like the concept of a “New” year. Indeed, the Journal noted that Rocket sported “a premium valuation before its earnings report of around 11 times FactSet’s consensus 2022 earnings - which is nearly twice that of peers’ - around 6 times.” Short sellers could make the case that Rocket shares are over-valued compare to those of its peers. The stock trades at a big premium to peers Although mortgage rates rose in the last week of February to the highest level since last August, Rocket told investors that “it expected its record origination volume in the fourth quarter would mostly hold steady into the first quarter of 2021,” noted the Journal. That increase is not hurting Rocket’s business. Mortgage originators are generally hurt by rising mortgage rates since it means that fewer people might want to refinance or buy a home. The case to bet that Rocket stock will go down hinges on rising mortgage rates and a high valuation. Rising interest rates could slow demand for mortgages The average price target represents a 3.46% increase from the last price of $24.30,” noted TipRanks. The average price target is $25.14 with a high forecast of $33.00 and a low forecast of $19.00. “Based on seven analysts offering 12 month price targets for Rocket Companies in the last 3 months. While analyst price targets are hardly scientific, the average target of $25.14 is slightly above where Rocket closed on March 1. ![]() ![]() As the Journal noted Rocket will pay such shareholders “a new special and non-recurring dividend of $1.11 per share which will total about $2.2 billion.” Trading below its price target Rocket made so much money that it’s issuing a special dividend which will be paid to stockholders as of March 9. ![]() Rocket’s per share earnings of $1.09 beat by 22 cents while revenue for the quarter at $4.78 billion - topped forecasts by $80 million, according to .įor the current quarter, Rocket forecasts what the Journal dubbed “better-than-expected guidance.”Īs CFO Julie Booth said, Rocket expects “closed loan volume of $98 billion to $103 billion compared to $51.7 billion in the first quarter of 2020 net rate lock volume of $88 billion to $95 billion, up from $56 billion in the first quarter of 2020 and gain-on-sale margins of 3.6% to 3.9% compared to 3.25% in the first quarter of 2020,” according to Rocket’s Fourth Quarter Earnings Call Transcript. Its fourth quarter results exceeded estimates.
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